The final round of the 2026 AFL season is here, with the 10 finalists still jostling for position ahead of the first-ever wildcard round.
Live updates and how every Round 24 game impacts the ladder below!
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Round 24
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LATEST TALKING POINTS (pre-Friday night)
Brisbane’s clash with Collingwood will shape what has become the most important part of the premiership race, for a very unfortunate reason.
The Lions begin Round 24 sitting third on the ladder, ahead of Hawthorn by 2.2 percentage points – roughly seven goals.
With the Hawks playing in the final game of the round against lowly West Coast, the Lions don’t just need to win to clinch a top-four spot, but to win by as much as possible – to make it harder for Hawthorn to catch them.
Finishing third will see a team travel to Sydney for a qualifying final against a Swans side weakened by the absences of multiple superstars following Monday morning’s alleged incident.
Compared to finishing fourth, and travelling to face flag favourites Fremantle, the reward for finishing third is therefore massive with a home preliminary final up for grabs.
As one example, if Brisbane def Collingwood by four goals 80 to 56, and in the Hawthorn-West Coast game the Hawks allowed 56 points, they would need to score 121 to pass Brisbane.
Similarly whoever finishes sixth will have a greater than usual chance of making a preliminary final, as they would face the Swans if they lose their qualifying final. Should all favourites win this would be Geelong.
CURRENT AFL LADDER (entering Friday night)
1. Fremantle (19-3, 142.5%) – To play: Carlton at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 1:15pm
2. Sydney Swans (17-5, 134.5%) – To play: North Melbourne at the SCG, Sunday 3:20pm
3. Brisbane Lions (15-7, 119.5%) – To play: Collingwood at the MCG, Friday 7:40pm
4. Hawthorn (14-6-2, 117.3%) – To play: West Coast at Optus Stadium, Sunday 7:20pm
5. Melbourne (15-7, 111.2%) – To play: Western Bulldogs at the MCG, Saturday 4:15pm
6. Geelong (14-8, 120.2%) – To play: Richmond at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 7:45pm
7. Adelaide Crows (14-8, 115.1%) – To play: GWS at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 8:10pm
8. Collingwood (12-8-2, 106.1%) – To play: Brisbane at the MCG, Friday 7:40pm
9. Western Bulldogs (12-9-1, 94.1%) – To play: Melbourne at the MCG, Saturday 4:15pm
10. Carlton (11-10-1, 99.6%) – To play: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 1:15pm
CURRENT PREDICTED FINALS BRACKET
First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Fremantle vs Hawthorn at Optus Stadium
First Elimination Final (5th hosts Lowest Ranked Wildcard Winner): Melbourne vs TBC (Pies/Dogs/Blues) at the MCG
First Wildcard Final (7th hosts 10th): Adelaide Crows vs Carlton at Adelaide Oval
Second Wildcard Final (8th hosts 9th): Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs at the MCG
Second Elimination Final (6th hosts Highest Ranked Wildcard Winner): Geelong vs TBC (Crows/Pies/Dogs) at the MCG
Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions at the SCG
The wildcard finals are played the week after the home and away season ends, with the top six teams getting a bye.
CURRENT PREDICTED FINAL LADDER
1. Fremantle (20-3)
2. Sydney Swans (17-6)
3. Brisbane Lions (16-7)
4. Hawthorn (15-6-2)
5. Melbourne (16-7)
6. Geelong (15-8)
7. Adelaide Crows (15-8)
8. Collingwood (12-9-2)
9. Western Bulldogs (12-10-1)
10. Carlton (11-11-1)
Pies offensive evolution through season | 02:06
HOW ROUND 24 WILL PLAY OUT, CHRONOLOGICALLY
Thursday night: St Kilda vs Gold Coast Suns, 7:30pm at Marvel Stadium
This game had no impact on the finals race.
Friday night: Collingwood vs Brisbane Lions, 7:40pm at the MCG
– if Collingwood wins: Magpies finish 8th, Lions finish between 3rd–7th depending on Hawks, Demons, Cats and Crows’ results/percentage (likely 6th)
– if Brisbane wins: Magpies finish 8th if Demons def Dogs, 9th if Dogs def Demons; Lions finish 3rd/4th depending on whether Hawks can close percentage gap of approx. 7 goals (as of pre-R24)
Saturday early: Carlton vs Fremantle, 1:15pm at Marvel Stadium
– if Carlton wins: Blues finish between 8th-10th depending on Magpies and Dogs’ results/percentage (likely 9th); Dockers finish 1st
– if Fremantle wins: Blues finish 10th; Dockers finish 1st
Saturday twilight: Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs, 4:15pm at the MCG
– if Melbourne wins: Demons finish between 3rd–5th depending on Lions and Hawks’ results/percentage (likely 5th); Bulldogs finish 9th if Dockers def Blues, 10th if Blues def Dockers (likely 9th)
– if Western Bulldogs win: Demons finish between 5th–7th depending on Cats and Crows’ results (likely 7th); Bulldogs finish 8th if Lions def Magpies, 9th if Magpies def Lions
Saturday night: Geelong vs Richmond, 7:45pm at GMHBA Stadium
– if Geelong wins: Cats finish between 3rd–6th depending on Lions, Hawks and Demons’ results (likely 6th)
– if Richmond wins: Cats finish 6th if Giants def Crows, 7th if Crows def Giants
Saturday night: Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants, 8:10pm at Adelaide Oval
– if Adelaide wins: Crows finish between 3rd–7th depending on Lions, Hawks, Demons and Cats’ results/percentage (likely 7th)
– if GWS wins: Crows finish 7th
Sunday early: Essendon vs Port Adelaide, 12:20pm at Marvel Stadium
This game has no impact on the finals race.
Sunday afternoon: Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne, 3:20pm at the SCG
The Swans are locked into 2nd.
Sunday night: West Coast Eagles vs Hawthorn, 7:20pm at Optus Stadium
– if Hawthorn wins: Hawks finish 3rd if Lions lose to Magpies OR Hawks close percentage gap of approx. 7 goals (as of pre-R24), otherwise 4th
– if West Coast wins: Hawks finish between 4th–7th depending on Demons, Cats and Crows’ results/percentage (likely 7th)
“Get up to speed with the modern game” | 03:09
TEAM-BY-TEAM FINALS SCENARIOS
1. FREMANTLE (19-3, 142.5%)
To play: Carlton at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 1:15pm
Win or Lose: Finish 1st
Fox Footy’s prediction: Win and finish 1st, host Hawthorn in a qualifying final
2. SYDNEY SWANS (17-5, 134.5%)
To play: North Melbourne at the SCG, Sunday 3:20pm
Win or Lose: Finish 2nd
Fox Footy’s prediction: Lose and finish 2nd, host Brisbane in a qualifying final
3. BRISBANE LIONS (15-7, 119.5%)
To play: Collingwood at the MCG, Friday 7:40pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Hawthorn (vs WC) loses or can’t make up 7-goal percentage gap, otherwise 4th
Lose: Finish 3rd if Hawthorn, Melbourne (vs WB), Geelong (vs RIC) and Adelaide* (vs GWS) all lose, 4th if three lose, 5th if two lose, 6th if one loses, 7th if none lose
Fox Footy’s prediction: Win and finish 3rd, away to Sydney in a qualifying final
*Crows need to recover 4.4% to pass Lions, approx. 14 goals
4. HAWTHORN (14-6-2, 117.3%)
To play: West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium, Sunday 7:20pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Brisbane (vs COL) lose OR Hawks win by approx. 7 goals more, if neither finish 4th
Lose: Finish 4th if Melbourne (vs WB), Geelong (vs RIC) and Adelaide (vs GWS) all lose, 5th if one loses, 6th if two lose, 7th if none lose
Fox Footy’s prediction: Win and finish 4th, away to Fremantle in a qualifying final
5. MELBOURNE (15-7, 111.2%)
To play: Western Bulldogs at the MCG, Saturday 4:15pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Brisbane (vs COL) and Hawthorn (vs WC) both lose, 4th if one loses, 5th if neither lose
Lose: Finish 7th if Geelong (vs RIC) and Adelaide (vs GWS) both win, 6th if one wins, 5th if neither win
Fox Footy’s prediction: Win and finish 5th, host TBC (Collingwood, Western Bulldogs or Carlton) in an elimination final
6. GEELONG (14-8, 120.2%)
To play: Richmond at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 7:45pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Brisbane (vs COL), Hawthorn (vs WC) and Melbourne (vs WB) all lose, 4th if two lose, 5th if one loses, 6th if none lose
Lose: Finish 7th if Adelaide (vs GWS) wins, 6th if Adelaide loses
Fox Footy’s prediction: Win and finish 6th, host TBC (Adelaide, Collingwood or Western Bulldogs) in a wildcard final
7. ADELAIDE CROWS (14-8, 115.1%)
To play: GWS Giants at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 8:10pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Brisbane* (vs COL), Hawthorn (vs WC), Melbourne (vs WB) and Geelong (vs RIC) all lose, 4th if three lose, 5th if two lose, 6th if one loses, 7th if none lose
Lose: Finish 7th
Fox Footy’s prediction: Win and finish 7th, host Carlton in a wildcard final
*Crows need to recover 4.4% to pass Lions, approx. 14 goals
8. COLLINGWOOD (12-8-2, 106.1%)
To play: Brisbane Lions at the MCG, Friday 7:40pm
Win: Finish 8th
Lose: Finish 9th if Western Bulldogs (vs MEL) win, otherwise 8th
Fox Footy’s prediction: Lose and finish 8th, host Western Bulldogs in a wildcard final
9. WESTERN BULLDOGS (12-9-1, 94.1%)
To play: Melbourne at the MCG, Saturday 4:15pm
Win: Finish 8th if Collingwood (vs BL) loses, otherwise 9th
Lose: Finish 9th if Carlton (vs FRE) loses, otherwise 10th
Fox Footy’s prediction: Lose and finish 9th, away to Collingwood in a wildcard final
10. CARLTON (11-10-1, 99.6%)
To play: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 1:15pm
Win: Finish 9th
Lose: Finish 10th if Western Bulldogs (vs MEL) win, otherwise 9th
Fox Footy’s prediction: Lose and finish 10th, away to Adelaide in a wildcard final
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